Methodology of risk assessment when selecting suppliers as a tool for ensuring the economic security of a company

Abstract

The purpose of the article is to develop and substantiate a methodology for assessing risks when selecting suppliers as a tool for ensuring the economic security of a company.

In the research process, a set of general scientific and special methods was used, in particular: the method of system analysis - to identify the structure of the counterparty's risks and substantiate the multi-component assessment model; the method of comparative analysis - to generalize existing approaches to assessing suppliers and identify their limitations; methods of economic and mathematical modeling - for formalizing the integrated dynamic supplier risk profile (SRP) and building a system of indicators; methods of normalizing indicators - to ensure the comparability of heterogeneous indicators within a single scale; the method of weighting coefficients - to determine the relative significance of individual indicators and risk components; methods of indicator analysis - to form a system of quantitative indicators of counterparty risk.

The article examines the theoretical and methodological principles of risk assessment when selecting suppliers in the context of ensuring the economic security of the company. The growing role of purchasing activities as a key element of the counterparty risk management system, which forms the prerequisites for the occurrence of financial and operational losses, is substantiated.

A multi-component model of the supplier's dynamic risk profile is proposed, which includes financial stability, payment discipline, contractual behavior, logistical reliability, reputational and legal risk, network dependence and adaptability of the counterparty. Each component is operationalized through a system of quantitatively measured indicators, which allows to ensure their comparability, normalization and integration into a generalized risk index. The proposed approach is based on the use of weighting factors and aggregation procedures, which ensures the formation of a dynamic risk profile taking into account time changes and behavioral characteristics of the counterparty.